Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.047191 0.051323 0.055509 0.060061 0.064862 0.069771 0.075161
2024-10-20 0.039772 0.045775 0.052085 0.059184 0.066923 0.075077 0.084292
2024-10-27 0.035137 0.042564 0.050631 0.059980 0.070454 0.081765 0.094844
2024-11-03 0.030619 0.038972 0.048333 0.059482 0.072287 0.086420 0.103089
2024-11-10 0.027348 0.036445 0.046934 0.059737 0.074761 0.091657 0.111918
2024-11-17 0.024924 0.034656 0.046173 0.060541 0.077722 0.097357 0.121238
2024-11-24 0.023956 0.034510 0.047270 0.063472 0.083138 0.105898 0.133883
2024-12-01 0.020834 0.031403 0.044531 0.061567 0.082628 0.107372 0.138195
2024-12-08 0.018704 0.029390 0.042995 0.060995 0.083604 0.110517 0.144414
2024-12-15 0.016936 0.027712 0.041757 0.060681 0.084807 0.113868 0.150840
2024-12-22 0.016327 0.027558 0.042458 0.062812 0.089043 0.120915 0.161758
2024-12-29 0.015386 0.026859 0.042378 0.063882 0.091915 0.126285 0.170658
2025-01-05 0.014384 0.026035 0.042119 0.064747 0.094594 0.131528 0.179574
2025-01-12 0.012897 0.024390 0.040646 0.063926 0.095056 0.133989 0.185073
2025-01-19 0.012090 0.023707 0.040471 0.064820 0.097736 0.139247 0.194082
2025-01-26 0.010939 0.022398 0.039327 0.064326 0.098542 0.142103 0.200084
2025-02-02 0.010113 0.021539 0.038778 0.064611 0.100355 0.146233 0.207700
2025-02-09 0.009512 0.020998 0.038659 0.065468 0.102917 0.151326 0.216548
2025-02-16 0.009529 0.021495 0.040103 0.068565 0.108546 0.160443 0.230592
2025-02-23 0.008298 0.019745 0.038046 0.066558 0.107146 0.160349 0.232819
2025-03-02 0.007502 0.018688 0.036995 0.065955 0.107632 0.162699 0.238174
2025-03-09 0.006833 0.017800 0.036159 0.065626 0.108465 0.165489 0.244094
2025-03-16 0.006737 0.017986 0.037046 0.067874 0.112935 0.173150 0.256404